Think Progress

April 30, 2008
by Faiz Shakir, Amanda Terkel, Satyam Khanna, Matt Corley, Ali Frick, and Benjamin Armbruster
AFGHANISTAN

Not Winning

In a press conference yesterday, President Bush said, "I think we're making progress in Afghanistan" -- days after President Hamid Karzai was the subject of an attempted assassination plot. The Interior Ministry said the Taliban, nearly vanquished from the country in 2001, admitted to launching the attack. These rounds of violence are the latest in what has been an eroding situation over recent years. The United States is also struggling to gain international support for the efforts in Afghanistan. "Many of them, I think, have a problem with our involvement in Iraq and project that to Afghanistan," Secretary of Defense Robert Gates said in February. While the United States has deployed a "new 2,300-strong reserve force" of Marines to Afghanistan, the country still does not receive the necessary attention. Karzai's escape "should serve as a wakeup call to shift the focus to a new front," Center for American Progress (CAP) Senior Fellow Brian Katulis wrote yesterday. CAP has recommended a multi-pronged approach to Afghanistan, including building the governnment, increasing security, jumpstarting reconstruction, reducing opium production, and removing terrorist sanctuaries through redeployment of troops.

WORSE IN 2008?: 2007 was the bloodiest year in Afghanistan since 2001, with 6,000 killed in the country. Maj. Gen. Jeffrey  Schloesser, who commands U.S. forces in Afghanistan, said violence in 2008 "may well reach a higher level than it did in 2007," as insurgents pour in from Pakistan. "This year won't be different," he said. The attempted assassination of Karzai "came as the latest sign of a trend" that the insurgency in Afghanistan "is spreading from the Taliban stronghold of the south to the central and northern regions of the country," Christian Science Monitor reported this week. Furthemore, "[t]here is no security force in Afghanistan that people trust," according to member of parliament Ramazan Bashardost. He added that, after a recent attack, "the security forces fled the area before the ordinary people did." Afghanistan also has rates of illiteracy "among the highest in the world," a "weak and corruption-ridden government," and still retains the world's largest opium poppy crop.

BUSH CLAIMS WE'RE WINNING: Nevertheless, Bush remains blindly optimistic. "Do you think we're winning?" in Afghanistan, a reporter asked yesterday. "I do, I think we're making good progress. I do, yes," Bush said. But his leadership in Afghanistan has been anything but successful. The White House even "acknowledged that its strategic goals are unmet in Afghanistan in its own assessment late last year, but it has not yet implemented any major policy shifts on the Afghanistan front," Katulis noted. For example, according the Agency Coordinating Body for Afghan Relief, "Western countries have failed to deliver $10 billion of nonmilitary assistance pledged to Afghanistan over the last six years and the United States, by far the biggest donor, is responsible for half of the shortfall." Funding for Provincial Reconstruction Teams, which Bush "has called the leading edge of stabilization efforts," is "ad hoc and comes from so many sources that congressional investigators were unable to determine how much has been spent," a House Armed Service Committee report said last week. "[M]ilitary force, while necessary, is not sufficient to defeat militants in Afghanistan," Lawrence Korb and Caroline Wadhams of CAP wrote in January. Karzai has also criticized Bush's military-centric approach, which has caused heavy civilian casualties. "I am not happy with civilian casualties coming down; I want an end to civilian casualties," he said last weekend. "Overall, 42 percent of Afghans rate U.S. efforts in Afghanistan positively," down from 68 percent in 2005 and 57 percent last year, according to a December ABC News poll.

QUESTIONS FOR PETRAEUS: Bush recently tapped Iraq commander Gen. David Petraeus to lead U.S. Central Command, replacing Adm. William Fallon, whose premature departure in part stemmed from policy disagreements with the Bush administration. Appearing on PBS's NewsHour in January, Fallon pointed to the Iraq war as an explanation for the deterioration in Afghanistan. "[M]y sense of looking back is that we moved focus to Iraq, which was the priority from 2003 on, and the attention and the resources focused on a different place," he said. Petraeus is strongly associated with the current Iraq policy, which has drained spending and troop deployments away from Afghanistan. He now carries the responsibility of assessing priorities in Afghanistan as well as the entire Middle East. "Confirmation hearings for General Petraeus later this year offer an important opportunity for Congress to raise questions about how America can strike the right balance and match its considerable yet strained resources to the numerous threats it faces in Pakistan, Afghanistan and Iraq," Katulis notes. "It's time to separate out these two wars, or else we may lose both," Korb and Wadhams add.

UNDER THE RADAR

ETHICS -- KBR EMPLOYEES STOLE MONEY, ARTWORK, AND GOLD FROM IRAQ: On Monday, two former KBR employees told a Senate panel that some of their colleagues working for the contractor in Iraq stole weapons, artwork, and gold. Linda Warren, a former laundry foreman and recreation director for KBR in Iraq, told the panel "that some of her American colleagues doing construction work in Iraqi palaces and municipal buildings took woodcarvings, tapestries and crystal 'and even melted down gold to make spurs for cowboy boots.'" When Warren first leveled these allegations in 2004, her supervisor "reminded her that she had signed a confidentiality agreement and then threatened her by saying an American woman 'wouldn't last very long on the streets of Baghdad.'" A second former employee told the panel that "a KBR foreman tried to take military equipment, including two rocket launchers." Just two weeks ago, the firm won a $150 billion, 10-year contract to work with the U.S. Army in Iraq. A dozen former KBR employees have also come forward in recent months alleging that they were raped by coworkers while working in Iraq.

IRAQ -- WOLFOWITZ CONCEDES HE WAS 'CLUELESS' ON POST-WAR IRAQ: During a recent discussion of Iraq war architect Douglas Feith's new book "War and Decision," former deputy defense secretary Paul Wolfowitz acknowledged he was "clueless on counterinsurgency" regarding troops levels after the fall of Baghdad. However, he still maintains that retired Army Gen. Eric Shinseki -- who stated before the war that the United States would need "several hundred thousand soldiers" to secure Iraq -- was wrong, saying that a "sensible counterinsurgency strategy" would have involved "build[ing] up Iraqi forces," not using American troops. Wolfowitz ignores the fact that Iraqi forces were already in Iraq but were disbanded by viceroy L. Paul Bremer. Indeed, Shinseki -- whom Gen. John Abizaid said "was right" on postwar troop levels -- specifically noted that the number of troops he recommended would be used to prevent an insurgency and civil war. 

ENVIRONMENT -- FEDERAL JUDGE ORDERS BUSH ADMINISTRATION TO DECIDE ENDANGERED LISTING OF POLAR BEARS: A federal judge on Tuesday found the Bush administration "guilty of violating the Endangered Species Act (ESA)" by continually delaying a final listing decision on global warming's threat to the polar bear. The U.S. District Court of Northern California has given the Interior Department until May 15 to publish the "final listing determination" on whether to classify the polar bear as endangered. The Bush administration "was required by law" to make a decision by Jan. 9, but it instead asked for an extension until the end of June.  The court denied the extension, stating that the Interior Department "offers no specific facts that would justify the existing delay, much less further delay." The judge also insisted the listing be made immediately by waiving a 30-day notice period on the ruling. The judge cited "a pending proposal to permit oil industry operations" in Arctic seas and the failure of the Department to prove that a thirty-day notice period will not "pose a threat to the polar bear." Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA) called the Interior Department's delay a "serious breach of the Department's duty to follow the law and protect the magnificent polar bear from the threat of extinction."


THINK FAST

Army officials yesterday said that they are "inspecting every barracks building worldwide to see whether plumbing and other problems revealed at Fort Bragg, N.C., last week are widespread." "We let our soldiers down," said Brig. Gen. Dennis Rogers, who is responsible for maintaining Army barracks. A video shot by the father of a soldier showed problems such as a "bathroom drain plugged with sewage."

Two U.S. soldiers were killed in Baghdad today, "taking the American troop death toll in Iraq for April to 46." April is the "deadliest month since September, when 65 U.S. soldiers died in Iraq, according to figures compiled by icasualties.org."

A report by the Special Inspector General for Iraq predicts today that "Iraq's oil revenue will top a record $70 billion this year, adding fuel to a congressional push to force the Iraqi government to assume more responsibility for rebuilding the country." "The cost of a barrel of Iraqi oil has increased by 250% since 2003."

Yesterday, the Senate Intelligence Committee voted to "limit CIA interrogators to techniques approved by the military, which would effectively bar them from waterboarding prisoners." The secret vote was taken on an amendment by Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA), marking "at least the second attempt by intelligence overseers in Congress to regulate CIA questioning of detainees."

The Interior Department inspector general is investigating "whether federal money was inappropriately used to pay for a celebration" of the Alaska Volcano Observatory "that recognized its chief patron, Sen. Ted Stevens (R-AK)." The event, which was coordinated by a lobbyist for the University of Alaska at Fairbanks, may have received federal funds either directly through an organizer or indirectly from earmarks.

"The Supreme Court's recent rulings upholding Indiana's voter ID law and Kentucky's use of lethal injections" exemplify a shift in the court's approach to deciding constitutional questions. By rejecting broad legal challenges, the court is sending the message that legal advocates need to "produce evidence that a law has actually violated someone's rights" rather than asserting that rights could be violated.

Employer-based health insurance premiums have "skyrocketed at a pace that far exceeds the rate of American wage increases since 2000," according to a new study by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation. The average dollar amount employees must pay per year for family health coverage went up by 30 percent from 2001 to 2005.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, "[f]ederal, state and local governments are hiring new workers at the fastest pace in six years, helping offset job losses in the private sector," adding "76,800 jobs in the first three months of 2008." By contrast, "private companies collectively shed 286,000 workers in the first three months of 2008″ leading "many economists to declare the country is in a recession."

The director of the Government Accountability Office's (GAO) natural resource programs said yesterday that the White House Office of Budget Management "is 'actually dictating' which chemicals the Environmental Protection Agency can assess for health impacts." A GAO report released yesterday found that the OMB is increasingly interfering with the EPA's work.

And finally: Over the weekend, Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) challenged Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) to a "Lincoln-Douglas" style debate. Of course, Clinton was referring to the 1858 debates between Abraham Lincoln and Stephen A. Douglas. Fox News, however, needs to brush up on its history. An image on the network showed a picture of Lincoln and Frederick Douglass, the former slave and Lincoln ally who spent his life fighting for the abolition of slavery.



INTERNSHIPS

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GOOD NEWS

The highest court of the U.S. Presbyterian Church has lifted a censure placed on a retired minister for presiding over two same-sex unions, the church announced on Tuesday.

STATE WATCH

CALIFORNIA: LAPD's claim that of over 300 complaints of racial profiling against officers, "none had merit" is greeted with skepticism.

VIRGINIA: "Gov. Timothy M. Kaine (D) said Tuesday that he would consider backing an increase in Virginia's 17.5 cent-a-gallon gasoline tax."

MISSOURI: "Missouri senators reversed course Tuesday after mistakenly voting to restrict" RU-486, a drug used for medical abortions.

BLOG WATCH

THINK PROGRESS: Spurned by negative media attention, former attorney general John Ashcroft is now keeping his mouth shut on waterboarding.

WONK ROOM: CNN's Ali Velshi hosts Glenn Beck to promote liquid coal.

NEWSHOUNDS: Fox News's Bill O'Reilly forced to issue a correction after baselessly claiming PBS's Bill Moyers doesn't pay his staff's health insurance.

GRISTMILL: The fight over coal plants heads to a climax in Kansas.

DAILY GRILL

"[N]o one anticipated this insurgency [in Iraq], a lot of people were slow to recognize it once it had started."
-- Former deputy defense secretary Paul Wolfowitz, 4/28/08

VERSUS

"The overthrow of Saddam Hussein and subsequent U.S. occupation of Iraq could lead to internal violence and provide a boost to Islamic extremists and terrorists in the region."
-- Two pre-war National Intelligence Council assessments, January 2003


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